Race-day weather · Wyndo for runners
Army Ten-Miler weather
October 11, 2026 · Arlington, VA · traditional start around 8:00 AM (America/New_York) — not yet confirmed for 2026. What the start usually feels like, year by year — and a live start-time read once the race confirms its schedule and race week arrives.
Countdown
90 days to race day
The live race-day forecast unlocks 84 days from now, when October 11, 2026 enters the 7-day forecast window. Until then, no made-up long-range forecast — the history below is what race morning usually looks like.
The 2026 start time hasn't been published yet — the 8:00 AM start shown here is carried from a previous edition. We'll switch on the live start-time read when the race posts its schedule.
Typical start temp
52°F
median of 20 years
A warm year
57°F
75th percentile start temp
Rain at the start
5%
1 of 20 measured years
Race-morning weather history
2025 edition ran through a nor'easter (cold rain/wind) and still drew 28,000. Wyndo tracks what this calendar slot has actually served up at the start hour — temperature, dew point, wind, and rain — including the years when weather canceled or disrupted the race, and reads the live forecast for the start once the race confirms its schedule and race week arrives.
Median start temp
52°F
p75 (a warm year): 57°F
Median dew point
45°F
at the start hour
Rain at the start
5%
1 of 20 measured years
Warmest start
76°F
in 2017
| Year | Start temp | Dew point | Wind | Precip (start hr) | Day's high |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 63°F | 59°F | 13 mph | dry | 68°F |
| 2024 | 53°F | 52°F | 4 mph | dry | 81°F |
| 2023 | 50°F | 41°F | 8 mph | dry | 63°F |
| 2022 | 40°F | 37°F | 5 mph | dry | 65°F |
| 2021 | 68°F | 66°F | 7 mph | dry | 73°F |
| 2020 | 65°F | 63°F | 2 mph | dry | 72°F |
| 2019 | 53°F | 37°F | 6 mph | dry | 66°F |
| 2018 | 48°F | 44°F | 1 mph | dry | 59°F |
| 2017 | 76°F | 73°F | 8 mph | 1.4 mm | 82°F |
| 2016 | 57°F | 45°F | 14 mph | dry | 67°F |
| 2015 | 46°F | 42°F | 2 mph | dry | 71°F |
| 2014 | 49°F | 44°F | 6 mph | dry | 64°F |
| 2013 | 62°F | 58°F | 9 mph | dry | 66°F |
| 2012 | 51°F | 45°F | 9 mph | dry | 75°F |
| 2011 | 51°F | 48°F | 4 mph | dry | 80°F |
| 2010 | 52°F | 40°F | 4 mph | dry | 78°F |
| 2009 | 46°F | 40°F | 5 mph | dry | 68°F |
| 2008 | 52°F | 49°F | 3 mph | dry | 76°F |
| 2007 | 46°F | 40°F | 4 mph | dry | 71°F |
| 2006 | 54°F | 49°F | 6 mph | dry | 69°F |
Slot climatology, honestly framed: each row is the weather at this race's usual calendar slot and start hour (ERA5 reanalysis at the start line) — including years when the edition was canceled or moved, because what the slot serves up is exactly the question. A computed slot date is not a claim the race ran that day.
Your heat-adjusted goal for the 10-miler
The same cited model as the full calculator, pointed at this race: the median start-hour conditions this calendar slot has served up — climatology, not a forecast.
Training for this race?
Wyndo can email you when conditions turn good for a run near Arlington, VA — and stay quiet when they don't. (A race-week forecast alert keyed to race day is coming next.)
Get an alert when it's a good time for running
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Race facts
- Start line
- Pentagon North Parking Lot
- Traditional start (not confirmed for 2026)
- 8:00 AM (America/New_York) — 2026 schedule not yet published; per the 2025 edition, waves 1-10 start 8:00-8:55 AM (howitzer blast at 8:00) from the Pentagon North Lot.
- Field size
- 2025 drew ~28,000 runners (nation's largest 10-miler); finisher count runs a few thousand lower
- Registration
- open
Wyndo is not affiliated with or endorsed by the Army Ten-Miler (officially the "42nd Annual Army Ten-Miler") or its organizers. Race names are used descriptively to identify the event; schedules and start times belong to the race — always confirm details on the official site. Weather guidance here is informational, never medical advice, and event alert flags on race day belong to the race's own medical team.